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Un budget prévisible
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Par:-  Nazim Esoof

On 22/05/2009

Rama Sithanen n’a pas pris de risque en ce temps de crise économique mondiale. Il énonce ses trois priorités: sauver l’emploi, protéger la population et se préparer pour la relance.

Au-delà des mesures annoncées et de quelques gestes symboliques, le ministre des Finances et le gouvernement tentent surtout de limiter les dégâts en cette période de crise. Quant aux projets, on sait, et c’est vrai quel que soit le titulaire au poste, un certain nombre demeurera au stade de bonnes intentions. Alors que d’autres sont quasiment irréalisables. Sithanen ne fait pas exception à la règle.

Par contre, on retiendra sa volonté de rassurer la population à l’effet que le gouvernement est toujours là pour la protéger. Il n’y a qu’à se référer au nombre incalculable de fois où il a recours à l’expression: «protéger la population.» Est-il parvenu à convaincre les citoyens? On le saura dans les jours qui viennent.

Il demeure que le ministre compte beaucoup sur son Additional Stimulus Package pour soutenir l’économie en cette période délicate. Personne ne pouvant prédire à quand la sortie de crise, le ministre préfère prendre ses précautions. Tout ce qui est annoncé s’étend sur une période de 18 mois. Au-delà, nous entrerons, pour reprendre une expression de Sithanen, dans «l’œil du cyclone.»

Enfin, rarement un budget n’a été à ce point un non-événement. Mais il faut aussi se dire que le ministre des Finances aura le budget de décembre pour rattraper le coup. D’ici là, on s’approchera davantage de l’échéance électorale. Et on aura peut-être un Rama Sithanen moins technicien et plus politique.

 


Commentaires

Par WINDSOR
May 25, 2009
BROKE MAURITIUS. BUDGET 2009- did sithanen get it right? Fact check: truth, lies and wishful thinking Bloggers feel the finance minister's fiscal forecasts are unrealistic. False debates over the grandiloquence of infrastructure investments are distracting us from human face of crisis. Sithanen’s failure to address citizen’s concerns in a frontal outlook is a bad omen. The fundamental issue today is that the link between the people and their politicians has been severed. The Prime Minister at one function in Reduit covers some important points as to suggest that any one being member of labour party should not feel to be licensed to shoot with a revolver. The blunt reality is that the waste, malpractices and absence of fair play been much in display during this government mandate. Those that been close to social alliance never give slightest thought to country’s dilemma. The commercial radios and the press been calling a spade a spade, but those comfortable protégées sneered at any constructive comments, and now at the eve of a General election the brutal awakening is a rough one. Sithanen continues to treat budget presentation as an exclusive and classy show. A positive wind of change would come if the prime Minister calls on his MP have to stop showing contempt to popular will. The under performance of government elected members during debates on bills and budgets , will again be seen with them holding pre written papers , and reading these like parrots. With a double crisis – economic and political – gripping the country it would be a poor joke for MPs to carrying on with such weak contribution. Prime ministers in difficulty often seek to distract journalists with this sort of gossip, even though it is disruptive to governance, demoralising to colleagues, and of little interest to anyone beyond william Newton Street. The idea that sanctions against communalistic based comments would do anything at all to address seething public anger is risible. That there is seriously thinking of moving elected representatives who transgress suggests that he has a very limited conception of the extent of the reforms the public is expecting in the wake of the scandals of the past month. /years. Britain today is giving a serious shock to members of parliament. Already the heads are rolling off. Read this comments from one of the disgraced MP’s. MPs' expenses: The most outrageous responses – so far How some MPs have chosen to defend themselves in the wake of the expenses scandal? The Tory MP for Totnes claimed nearly £90,000 over four years for his country home, according to the Telegraph, with the claims including payments for tree surgery, guarding his shrubs against rabbits, maintaining a separate cottage and overhauling his private sewage system. He said: "I think I behaved, if I may say so, impeccably. I've done nothing criminal, that's the most awful thing, and do you know what it's about? Jealousy. "I've got a very, very large house. Some people say it looks like Balmoral ... it's a merchant's house of the 19th century. It's not particularly attractive. It just does me nicely ... "We have a wretched government here which has completely mucked up the system and caused the resignation of me and many others because it was this government that introduced the Freedom of Information Act and it's this government that insisted on things that have actually caught me on the wrong foot, which if I'd been cleverer it wouldn't have done. "What right does the public have to interfere with my private life? None The similarity with what takes place in Mauritius is most visible. During Mauritius Budget time, there been no mechanism proposed to apply sanctions against those that caused the Rs ? Billions as reported in the Audit Report. Inside government owned organisations and para statal bodies the claims to privacy when using tax payer’s money are common and routine talk. What are the politics of this budget? The finance minister has delayed cuts until the immediate crisis is over. But Labour's willingness to borrow more and rescue what it can tax booby trap - and it rallies Labour's own. But when the pinch starts, in that 4th fateful year of the New Labour era, this last social democratic flag may be drowning, not waving. Too late, much too late Will politics be shaped by public debt? Is the Pope a Catholic? The election won't be so much a fight as a mad dash for the exit by harassed voters. Has there ever been a Labour government that hasn't left the country on its knees? But I do suspect this one is the daddy of all incompetence, and the numbers are still from Alice in Wonderland. • At the rate Mauritius disintegration is preceding, unemployment rising, the exchequer running out of money. the income revenues declining, the public debt mounting, the police force overworked, the uncouth shyster government owned institutions operating in secrecy, most of then inviable, insolvent with no assets to meet their obligations or commitments, public apathy and distrust of the government that is run amok and out of control, come 2010 there may not be anything left left to shape. • • It's even worse than most people feared. So then, what can we do to get rid of this inept junta before next December., Surely we can think of some way to force this pantomime horse of an administration to complete its current process of disintegration, and scamper off in all directions? • One old age pensioner fitting comment: I am sixty years of age and should be given a medal. I have never voted in my life and therefore I have never put one of those slimeballs called MP's into office. This country is and has always been run by slime that rises to the top, I have never taken a penny of state aid - always paid my own way, something the slime would never understand. • This did not seem like a budget from a govt. expecting to be in power much longer. If his forecasts are too optimistic (they usually are ) then it is going to be difficult to achieve his borrowing needs without the IMF (who can then be blamed for the necessary austerity measures eerily omitted today ) It all seamed surreal somehow • A "new hospital" or "new school" does not make it a good hospital or a good school. You are mistaking image with substance. People, ideas, imagination, vision, decent leadership make for good hospitals and schools. Unemployment is rising fast, businesses are going bust and youth unemployment is going to be awful. I do not care what Japan's percentage of debt to GDP I just know we are being led by a bunch of losers who are damaging this country and its people. They have been in charge for 4 years. When they took over the economy was relatively strong. Their legacy is going to be appalling. • The most sickening fallout of this government's ineptitude is the fact that they continually wasted millions and billions of taxpayer's hard earned cash. what we get is decades of debt. • The reality is that in future everyone, even the modest earner, is going to have to pay more tax; and that public spending is going to have to be cut, and hard. Even on Labour's wildly optimistic growth forecasts, the budget isn't going to be balanced for a decade. The truly scary thing is that when it turns out that sithanen's forecasts have been wrong, and I haven't heard a single economist agree with them, the gap between what the Government is planning to spend and the income it will actually have coming in will be even greater. We will have to hope then that the markets can be persuaded that we have an austerity plan that will work, or that the IMF will take pity on us. Yes of course this phoney Budget is about pretending to do a bit of cutting and bit of taxing; but this is only a fraction of the cutting and taxing that will have to be done, with profound consequences for mauritian society and politics. Know this, Labour New and Old. Your dream of the big state, big spending, bit safety net is over. You are in freefall, and that's the ground rushing up to meet you.
Par N.G.H
May 23, 2009
A quand une formule pour le transport gratuit pour les étudiants? Le gouvernement ne peut se permettre de dépenser une somme astronomique sur cet item sans avoir un contrôle strict. Pas capav zelev absent, sirtou pendan 3e terme, bus en panne dan garaz mais compagnies bus ek individiels gagne zot kas karé karé! Inadmissible!!
Par Sitoi Yen
May 22, 2009
Sans surprise le budget a ete comme prevue un non-event puisque le "vrai" celui de "labouche doux", le budet electoraliste que le peuple admirable attend apres 4 annees de dure labeur sans recompense tombera en decembre. Le PM menage fort bien ses calculs et entraine a la fois Sithanen dans son jeu pour garder le meilleur pour la fin de leur mandat et le debut du campagne pour les elections. Nul besoin de supposer que le Min des Finances fera le portrait d'un economie en bonne sante avec ces mesures pleines de reussite et les chiffres positives et heureusement helas pas tres comprehensive pour le commun des mortels. Tant pis pour ceux qui feront semblant d'un effet "WoW" car on vous l'avez deja prevenu..
Par Poukni
May 22, 2009
C'est ce qu'on attendait ! Comment appliquer un budget à longterme quand on ne connait pas le parcours de la crise économique. La seule carte à jouer de Sithanen c'est son A.S.P qui prouvera si sa technique est effectif pour protéger la population , une chance pour conserver son poste sans concurrence pour les prochaines législatives. Sa bonne volonté n'est pas à écarter !
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